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2020 NBA Playoffs Second Round Series Preview: Clippers – Nuggets

LA Clippers Denver Nuggets NBA Playoffs Jamal Murray Kawhi Leonard

After a hard-fought game 7 against the Utah Jazz, the 3-seed Denver Nuggets have earned their rightful place in the second round against the 2-seed LA Clippers. Read on for a full second round series preview.

The Big Picture

After the Clippers blew game 4 in their first round series and fell to 2-2 against the Dallas Mavericks, things had potential to go badly. But narratives are fickle, and the Clippers’ bounce back to dominate game 5 by a historic 43-point margin and emphatically close out the series in game 6 left their two first-round losses as just footnotes, learning experiences for what was clearly proven to be the better team.

They’ll hope to need to learn less in the second round, though. I’ve said it a lot: nobody is crowned champion in the first round. For teams that make it all the way to the Finals, the playoffs last for two months and something like 25 games (the champion Toronto Raptors played 24 last year, the runners-up Golden State played 22). No team can reach their peak in game 1 of the playoffs and maintain it for 20+ games. It’s about growth, it’s about fighting through adversity, about coming together to become comfortable in a shortened playoff rotation and finding ways to win games where you aren’t playing well and have to scrap to come away with a victory you didn’t deserve.

The Clippers’ six-game victory against the Mavericks wasn’t as strong as it could have been, so I’m not going to gush with praise, but I will say that putting their foot down in game 5 required a mental toughness that wouldn’t have been required in an easier series. It’s the antithesis of what happened to the Milwaukee Bucks, who were able to sleepwalk to a 5-game series victory against the awful Orlando Magic and then got punched in the mouth in game 1 of the second round by the Miami Heat. At no point since arriving in the Orlando bubble did the Bucks have a “we need to find a way to be better” moment, and as a result, they came into the second round far from their best.

For all the headaches the Mavericks gave the Clippers in the first round, we can thank Dallas for this: the massive comeback in game 4 that culminated in Doncic’s overtime buzzer-beater made the Clippers say “we need to find a way to be better.”

The playoffs are full of those moments. When you beat an opponent, they step up their game and try to respond. When your opponent beats you, you’ve gotta find a way to step up your game and respond. Eventually, you either fall short of shifting yet one gear higher, or you find the answer enough times that you’re the last team standing. The Mavs made the Clippers better, but there’s more growth ahead if the road they’re on ends with a title.

The Schedule:

Game 1: Thursday, September 3rd at 6:00pm PT, TNT
Game 2: Saturday, September 5th at 6:00pm PT, TNT
Game 3: Monday, September 7th at 6:00pm PT, TNT
Game 4: Wednesday, September 9th at 6:00pm PT, ESPN
Game 5 (if necessary): Friday, September 11th, Time TBA, TNT
Game 6 (if necessary): Sunday, September 13th, Time TBA, ESPN
Game 7 (if necessary): Tuesday, September 15th, Time TBA, ESPN

The Antagonist

Perhaps no bubble team has had to make as demanding a journey in the last month as the Denver Nuggets. Starting small forward Will Barton never made it on the court, ultimately leaving the bubble to work on a mysterious knee ailment. Starting point guard Jamal Murray missed the first four bubble games. He’s the guy who had two 50-point games in the first round–safe to say he’s important. Starting shooting guard Gary Harris, who happens to be the Nuggets’ best defender, missed every seeding game and the first five games of the first round, returning to play a crucial role off the bench in games 6 and 7 after not playing in a game for six months.

After a successful pre-COVID regular season left Denver looking pretty clearly like the third-best team in the Western Conference, they came into the bubble and had to learn how to play with what amounted to major roster turnover (with a team that was severely positionally unbalanced, with too many forwards and centers available without options at guard). Case in point: rookie forward Michael Porter, Jr. played 48 of the team’s 65 pre-COVID games, averaging 14 minutes per game and starting just once. In the bubble? He started all seven of the team’s first seeding games before resting in their final contest, playing 33 minutes per game. He also started the first three games of the first round and played 30+ minutes in each of the first two before coach Mike Malone pulled him early in Denver’s embarrassing game 3 blowout loss.

The Nuggets had to figure it out. They played new, weird, oversized lineups without some of their best players and with some rarely-used and deeply-flawed depth pieces entering the rotation. They found a way to win three seeding games (and would have won more if they hadn’t prioritized rest for their short-handed lineup). They won in overtime in game 1 without two starters despite Donovan Mitchell exploding for fifty-seven points. After dropping the next three games while playing abysmal defense to fall behind 3-1 in the series, they adjusted their starting lineup and clawed back to win the series in 7 games.

Denver got dealt a raw hand in the bubble. Injuries forced them into “we need to find a way to be better” moments before seeding play even began. Donovan Mitchell forced them into a “we need to find a way to be better” moment during game 1. The Jazz forced them into a “we need to find a way to get better moment” after game 3’s blowout–and reinforced it with a game 4 victory after Denver didn’t respond initially. But they did find a way.

Unfortunately for the Nuggets, the test is only going to get harder, and they aren’t going to get a lot of time to recover. The Jazz had the 10th-best offense in the NBA this year and the 13th-best defense, and they played the first round without their second-leading scorer in Bojan Bogdanovic. The Clippers had the 2nd-best offense and 5th-best defense in the league this year. If anyone deserves a reprieve, it’s the Nuggets, but their reward for winning Tuesday night’s game 7 is 48 hours to find a way to get better. That’s not a lot of time, and Jamal Murray showed it in his live reaction to finding out how short the turnaround would be before game 1:

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